Welcome back to our first episode since we broke for the summer. We open the show with the latest Nanos ballot tracking in which the Conservatives have not only widened their lead, but something significant has happened between the Liberals and NDP. CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss what this could mean for the governing minority Liberals and the timing for the next election. Nik also goes region by region to share his latest seat projections -- how popular support for each party would translate into seats if an election were to be held today. There are some significant changes worth paying attention to in places like the national capital region and B.C.'s Lower Mainland. CREDITS Host: Michael StittleGuest: Nik NanosProducers: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell RasmussenEditor:  Jesse Tahirali

After a stunning Toronto byelection victory by the Conservatives, pollster Nik Nanos looks at what other ridings across the country -- currently in Liberal hands -- might be taken away by Pierre Poiliever's party if an election were held today. Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are feeling right now about their economic future, and should things turn brighter before the next election, what that could mean politically for Justin Trudeau's leadership. This is our last episode before we break for the summer. Thank you for watching, and we'll be back in the fall. HOST:  Michael StittleGUEST: Nik NanosPRODUCERS:  Phil Hahn and Patrick RailEDITOR: Jesse Tahirali Note:   In the discussion on Liberal support in Alberta, Michael Stittle mentioned Anne McGrath. He meant Anne McLelland, the former Liberal cabinet minister. Anne McGrath was the NDP national director.

With a big test for the Liberals coming up later this month in a federal byelection, host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos talk about what the results need to be to ramp up -- or tamp down -- the conservation over Justin Trudeau's leadership. Nik and Michael also discuss a recent survey about how Canadians feel about who should lead the Liberals in the next election.  And finally, will the Liberals be successful in making the capital gains tax into a wedge issue against the Conservatives? CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest tracking data from Nanos Research that shows Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives continue to hold a double-digit lead over Justin Trudeau's Liberals. But a different Nanos survey that looks into the leaders' credibility in Canadians' eyes is hardly flattering for either. In fact, Nik says the results are quite 'brutal' for both Trudeau and Poilievre.   Michael and Nik also react to the increasing combativeness and lack of decorum during question period in the House of Commons. Are the blows landing with Canadians or is the communications approach misguided? Finally, a dim view of the economy continues to impact the popularities of leaders in both Canada and the United States. Nik says that negative consumer confidence and 'joyless prosperity' is a big problem for incumbent governments -– and it could become a big problem for U.S. President Joe Biden. CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

When it comes to Canadians' pocketbooks, pollster Nik Nanos says he hasn't seen this much pessimism in a very long time. Nik and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are divided over the capital gains tax and its effect on investments, as well as how delaying the tax until end of June could result in a short-term windfall for the federal Liberals. Also, what do the Liberals have to do to reverse their negative trend line when it comes to popular support, and what do the Conservatives have to do to keep theirs positive? CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

Pessimism and anger towards the federal government is at an all-time high, according to Nanos tracking. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss the challenge this poses for the Liberals in the lead-up to an election.  Also, what are the major issues Canadians are worried about, and did the federal budget address them? CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

After months of the Conservatives enjoying a clear advantage in popular support over the Liberals, the latest Nanos ballot tracking shows Pierre Poilievre's party went from a 20-point lead to a 12-point lead.   Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss possible reasons behind the Conservative drop, and what might Quebec have to do with it?   Nik and Michael also discuss Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's war of words with the premiers over the carbon tax.  CREDITS: HOST: Michael Stittle GUEST: Nik Nanos PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail EDITOR:  Jesse Tahirali

Will a soft NDP vote benefit the Liberals in the next federal election?  Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss what the NDP is doing to differentiate itself from the Liberals, after two years of propping them up in Parliament. Also, why Liberal support might actually be higher than the national numbers indicate, and what the 'true' Conservative advantage is over the Liberals.   And as Canadians pay their respects to late prime minister Brian Mulroney, Nik and Michael rewind to 1988 when the Progressive Conservative leader was seeking reelection. His party was trailing the Liberals in the polls but managed to turn it around.  CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor:  Jesse Tahirali

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos look at new numbers showing the federal Conservatives have opened up a 20-point lead over the Liberals – will it hold up? Then, there was a federal byelection in Durham, Ont. Nik says the CPC victory was never in doubt, but we did learn something else that should be interesting to the Liberals.  Also, there’s a federal budget on the horizon – Nik says it’s another chance for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to change the channel and stem the LPC polling slump.  Finally, we have new data on how Canadians feel about the standard of living for the next generation – and the numbers are dismal.   CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives increasing their support as the party Canadians would vote for, while the Liberals are in a statistical tie with the New Democrats. Poilievre's personal numbers continue to trend sharply upwards while his party saw a 17-point advantage over the federal Liberals in the new Nanos tracking. CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail Editor:  Jesse Tahirali

Whether it's the ballot number or seat projections, latest Nanos Research data shows the Conservatives would easily win a "clear majority" if an election were held today. Pollster Nik Nanos and Michael Stittle take a look at the growing gap between the federal Conservatives and Liberals, and the narrowing one between the Liberals and NDP.  In a 'what's that about?' segment, Nik analyzes the Liberal attacks on a senior Conservative adviser and her links to the grocery sector. And Nanos Research has done a few surveys for CTV News that look into potential strains on U.S.-Canada relations. CREDITS Host:  Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down new data on how Canadians feel about the country's housing crisis – the Bank of Canada indicated on Wednesday that interest rate cuts are coming, but what else do Canadians want decision-makers to do?Then, Michael and Nik take a look at the latest ballot tracking and new numbers for preferred prime minister. What to know? Nik says you should keep a close eye on the Liberal-NDP vote split.Also, Justin Trudeau is being criticized by some for his holiday vacation, Nik says that the optics are not good for a prime minister dealing with multiple affordability crises at home. Finally, Donald Trump has won another GOP presidential primary and Canada seems to be preparing for the possibility of a second Trump presidency. Nik thinks that the Liberals may try to link the U.S. Republican Party to Pierre Poilievre – but there may be risks to the strategy. HOST:  Michael Stittle GUEST:  Nik Nanos PRODUCERS:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail EDITOR:  Jesse Tahirali https://www.ctvnews.ca/nanos

Trend Line is back after a holiday break, and in this week's episode, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest the ballot numbers for the main federal parties – where do we stand at the start of the new year? Then, Nanos Research has been tracking the ‘Mood of Canada’ for nearly two decades. Nik shares the latest data on how Canadians feel about their government and country. Finally, Michael and Nik look ahead to some of the issues concerning Canadians that will be top of mind for political leaders as they return to Parliament Hill. CREDITS Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

It's time to look at Nanos Research's monthly seat projections. Once again, it's bad news for the federal Liberals if an election were held today, with Conservatives either projected to win or to put up a fight in key ridings that were Liberal wins in the 2021 election. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle do a region-by-region breakdown of these projections in our end-of-year episode. Then, they track how the parties have been trending on the ballot question, as well as the personal brands of their leaders, over the past year. Finally, how much are Canadians willing to spend this holiday, and how are they feeling about the economy as we head into 2024? The next episode of Trend Line will be available Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2024. CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Edited by Jesse Tahirali

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss ballot numbers we haven't seen for a long time -- we're talking since Michael Ignatieff was Liberal leader. What does this mean moving forward for the federal parties? For the Conservatives, is there a price to be paid for doing this well in public opinion, with an election still more than a year (maybe) down the line? And as the fortunes of the NDP begin to rise, what do you do if you're Jagmeet Singh? CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Edited by Patrick Rail

It's been months of headlines touting tanking polling numbers for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and climbing support for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. But what does a long-term look at party standings show? And, is it too late for the trend lines to turn around?  In the latest episode of CTV's Trend Line, Nanos Research founder Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle dig in to the "Nanos Party Power Index Tracking for Canada." It offers a composite picture of various public opinion metrics, from the national ballot, to which party Canadians would consider voting for, as well as the top choices for prime minister and each party's leadership qualities.  Michael and Nik also discuss Canadian's growing concerns over their personal finances, and a troubling rise in hate crimes in Canada. CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail Edited by Patrick Rail

CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos break down how Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s reversal on a carbon tax for home heating oil in Atlantic Canada is already causing political blowback in the rest of the country – where does the federal government go from here? Then, we've got the latest ballot tracking data showing the Conservative Party continues to enjoy a significant advantage over the Liberal Party. Nik explains how that translates into seat projections and which areas pose the greatest challenge for the Trudeau government. Finally, there's fresh data showing that Canada has likely entered a technical recession after months of high inflation putting price pressures on consumers. Nik and Michael look at polling on the issues Canadians care most about, and unsurprisingly economic concerns are at the top of the chart.  Our next episodes will be available Wednesday, Nov. 15 CREDITS: Michael StittleNik Nanos Jesse Tahirali, Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail

After months of foreign relations turbulence, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss Canada's international reputation and look at recent surveys from Nanos Research –- which has good and bad news for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal government. In 2015, Trudeau declared to the world that Canada was 'back,' but it's been a bumpy road for his government lately. Nik gives his take on how the prime minister has handled challenges with India, the Nazi scandal in Parliament, as well as what role Canada could play when it comes to major events like the Israel-Hamas war. Ahead of the Bank of Canada's next planned rate decision, Nik's data shows that housing and inflation remain the top issues of concern for Canadians. Amid a raging house crisis, is the federal NDP missing an  opportunity to connect with a broader swath of the voting public? Our next episodes will be available Wednesday, Nov. 1 CREDITS: Michael Stittle (host)Nik Nanos (guest)Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)

Nik Nanos has his latest ballot numbers as the Liberals see an erosion in federal support, both for the party and for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s personal brand. Nik and host Michael Stittle then get into Nanos Research’s latest seat projections – how do the ballot numbers translate into actual seats in the House of Commons if an election were to be held today? And some history in the making in Canada – the election of the first ever Black speaker of the House of Commons, and the election of the first ever First Nations premier of a province. Hear Nik’s take on these events, and thanks for tuning in. Our next episodes will be available Wednesday, Oct. 18 CREDITS: Michael Stittle (host)Nik Nanos (guest)Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)

We're back from our summer break and pollster Nik Nanos has the latest on where the federal parties – and their leaders -- stand after a 'roller coaster' of a summer.  Nik and host Michael Stittle also talk about how Canadians are feeling about the plans to bring in more immigrants to Canada, especially in light of the current housing crunch. And make sure to tune in to our next episode when Nik will talk about his latest seat projections. That will be available on Oct. 4  CREDITS: Michael Stittle (host) Nik Nanos (guest) Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)